But
local computer experts say the odds of such a disruption
occurring are long and the effect on individual computer users
would be minimal.
"The
worst-case scenario is that the Internet would be inaccessible
for periods of hours," said Swarthmore College Network Manager
Mark Dumik.
Larry Pfeiffer, network engineer for the Information
Technology Department at Widener University in Chester, said
the vulnerability has probably existed since around 1990 when
the Border Gateway Protocol, or BGP, was established for
routers to connect with the World Wide Web. "This is not new,
by no means. It's just a vulnerability that's out there. It's
not a terrorist organization threatening to bring down the
Internet. It is a hole, a vulnerability," said
Pfeiffer.
Watson has predicted that hackers would understand how to
begin launching attacks "within five minutes of walking out of
that meeting" where he is disclosing details of the flaw he
said he found in the Transmission Control Protocol or TCP,
which is how computers set up connections between two points
on the Internet.
"You may theoretically know how to do it but actually doing
it is a lot more difficult. You'd need a whole lot more
information about the traffic you're trying to disrupt between
the two ISPs (Internet Service Providers)," said
Dumik.
Experts previously said such attacks could take between
four years and 142 years to succeed because they require
guessing a rotating number from roughly four billion possible
combinations. Watson said he can guess the proper number with
as few as four attempts, which can be accomplished within
seconds.
"What this guy claims is that the number is much less than
4.3 billion. It's still a small risk, but bigger than
previously anticipated," said Dumik.
The Homeland Security Department has issued a cyberalert
that attacks "could affect a large segment of the Internet
community." It said normal Internet operations probably would
resume after such attacks stopped.
Roger Cumming, director for England's National
Infrastructure Security Coordination Centre, has said
exploitation of the vulnerability could affect "the glue that
holds the Internet together."
Experts said there have
been no reports of attacks using this technique.
"I'm sort of discounting the likelihood of seeing something
fairly significant because of this," maintained Dumik.
Pfeiffer explained that the insertion of reset packets between
two points on the Internet has proven valuable in terms of
intrusion detection.
However, if someone has logged on to the Internet and has
an open TCP connection, a hacker exploiting the vulnerability
could reset the connection and log the person off, forcing the
person to re-establish the connection.
"If someone
does a TCP reset for example, between AT&T and Qwest, you
would lose connectivity between the two, you would lose the
routing protocol and it would take 30 to 40 seconds to
re-establish the connection," explained Pfeiffer.
The BGP is how 134,000 routers on the Internet establish a
connection with everyone on the World Wide Web and communicate
with one another, said Pfeiffer. Two ISPs can have a constant
connection, sharing routes.
If a reset keeps happening between two providers, BGP
dampening goes into effect and the connection is put in a
holding pattern, noted Pfeiffer.
"The BGP dampening sees it as unstable and puts it on
standby, in a holding pattern for 40 minutes," he said. A
reset on an ISP like Qwest, with multiple sites, could affect
a large number of users, he noted.
"It could shut down whoever is attached to Qwest," said
Pfeiffer.
Dumik said it is up to the large ISPs and major computer
equipment vendors like Cisco Systems Inc., not individual
users, to address the risks of the vulnerability.
Cisco executives acknowledged that their popular routers
were among those vulnerable and they have distributed software
repairs and tips to otherwise protect large corporate
customers. There were few steps for home users to take.
Officials at Microsoft Corp. said they did not believe Windows
users were too vulnerable and made no immediate plans to
update its software.
"A combination of new versions of software and best
practices would minimize any risk from this vulnerability,"
noted Dumik.
He said a potential solution offered by US-Computer
Emergency Readiness Team, or CERT, is that ISPs encrypt
information they trade with each other to prevent hackers from
inserting commands.
"It would take a lot of focused attention from someone with
really sophisticated knowledge to produce a significant
disruption that would interfere with Internet communication,"
noted Dumik.
In recent weeks, officials at some U.S. government agencies
and companies operating the most important digital pipelines
have fortified their own vulnerable systems because of early
warnings communicated by some security organizations. The
White House has expressed concerns especially about risks to
crucial Internet routers because attacks against them could
profoundly disrupt online traffic.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.